Tournament Workbook

March Madness Trend Simulator

Traditional bracket tree, spreadsheet chrome, and a sophisticated rule engine.

Runs one fresh simulation using your current rules and weights.
Runs a pool-aware optimizer that scores candidates by expected points, leverage, and win-equity proxy.
Workspace Map
Bracket Hub
Current view Setup
Bracket Summary
Champion Houston
Final Four Seeds 5, 2, 1, 1
Round of 64 Upsets 7
Score A higher score means the bracket aligned more strongly with the enabled trend rules and the simulator's scoring model. 162.5
Pool Profile
Sets pool size and chalk tendency for the optimizer.
Mid-size pools balance expected points with selective uniqueness.
Opponent field
Mix of favorites and selective upsets.
Access Trial Open

Preview bracket now, then unlock fresh runs, optimizer access, exports, and full controls when you’re ready.

East Region

St. John's wins region
Round of 64
1 Duke
16 Siena
98% Seed-hold
8 Ohio State
9 TCU
49% Seed-hold
5 St. John's
12 UNI
59% Seed-hold
Rule log
  • Rule Triggered: 12-seed upset boost
4 Kansas
13 Cal Baptist
79% Seed-hold
6 Louisville
11 South Florida
57% Seed-hold
Rule log
  • Rule Triggered: 11-seed recent trend boost
3 Michigan State
14 North Dakota State
86% Seed-hold
7 UCLA
10 UCF
61% Seed-hold
2 UConn
15 Furman
93% Upset
Round of 32
1 Duke
8 Ohio State
92% Seed-hold
5 St. John's
4 Kansas
35% Upset
6 Louisville
3 Michigan State
4% Seed-hold
Rule log
  • Rule Triggered: 3-seed Round of 32 edge
7 UCLA
15 Furman
92% Seed-hold
Sweet 16
1 Duke
5 St. John's
85% Upset
Rule log
  • Rule Triggered: overall No. 1 seed penalty
3 Michigan State
7 UCLA
92% Upset
Elite 8
5 St. John's
7 UCLA
84% Seed-hold
Review Desk

Check historical realism, hard-rule integrity, optimizer output, and source-data health in one place.

Trend Dashboard
Round of 64 upsets7
Round of 32 upsets3
Sweet 16 upsets2
Cinderella teams1
Triggered rules9
UCLA (7)
Integrity Report
All enabled hard rules passed.
All enabled hard rules passed.
Warnings
  • Conference tournament result inferred for 11 bracket entries; affected trend rules are approximate until source data is loaded.
  • Conference tournament first-loss flag inferred for 11 bracket entries; affected trend rules are approximate until source data is loaded.
Data Inputs

The app reads the provided Week 6 AP Poll and raw 2026 bracket reference. Duplicate-name warnings are surfaced instead of silently ignored so the tree stays honest about the source data.

Conference tournament result inferred for 11 bracket entries; affected trend rules are approximate until source data is loaded.Conference tournament first-loss flag inferred for 11 bracket entries; affected trend rules are approximate until source data is loaded.
fx
Integrity PASS Champion = Houston (2) | Seed = 20909674 | Retries = 82